Background

At the Paris Climate Change Conference, the Chinese government proposed a series of targets, including "around 2030, reaching the peak of carbon emissions and striving to achieve it as early as possible","reducing carbon emissions per unit of GDP by 60%-65% compared to 2005", and "non-fossil energy accounting for around 20% of the energy mix by 2030". The implementation of these targets is of great significance for China's energy transformation, climate change mitigation, and low-carbon development under the new normal of the economy. In the process of implementing these targets, China inevitably faces various challenges from economic growth, energy resource constraints, and environmental governance. How to make better decisions between economic development, energy consumption, and environmental protection, and provide solid scientific support and guidance for decision-making, are the current issues at hand. CEMF01 aims to use and compare various energy-economic models, analyze energy and environmental goals suitable for China's national conditions, explore the costs, related benefits, and risks during the process of achieving these goals, and clarify the key factors that affect goal implementation.

Results

CEMF01 compares the emission peaks of similar models under various scenarios, explores the correlation between models and the rationality of model scenario settings, analyzes the main reasons for the differences in model results, and discusses the scientific rationality of model parameter settings . By comparing and adjusting the calibrated models, a series of new, more transparent, and credible China carbon emission peak reports are formed, including comprehensive research reports and multi-industry and multi-theme special research reports. Part of the research results were published in "Climate Change Research Progress (English Version)" Advances in Climate Change Research March 2018 issue of CEMF.