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Home > Projects > CEMF02 > Activities
Review of International Symposium on Low Emission Development Strategy Modeling Technology (4): Application of Models in Low Emission Development Strategies for Key Industries and Fields
Jan 24, 2018

CEMF January 24, 2018

1. Wu Libo (Professor, School of Economics, School of Big Data, Fudan University)
 
"Development of Renewable Energy under the Condition of Electricity Marketization: Mechanism Transformation and Modeling Analysis"
 
Professor Wu compared and analyzed various factors in the day-ahead market and the real-time market of the electricity market by simulating the market and came to a conclusion: the day-ahead market is relatively stable, while the real-time market is relatively volatile; high-cost enterprises abandon competition in the day-ahead electricity market and instead compete in the real-time market ; Low-cost enterprises must first ensure their share of power generation rights, and then stabilize profits, so they give priority to competing in the day-ahead market.
 
2. Timur Guel (Senior Researcher, International Energy Agency (IEA))
 
"Introduction to the IEA Model and China Conclusions"
 
Dr. Guel first introduced the IEA Global Energy Model (WEM), which is a bottom-up energy system model based on detailed sectoral and regional energy demand balances, and analyzes energy-related and greenhouse gas emissions such as carbon dioxide in production and living processes situations. According to Dr. Guel's observations on China's economy, society and energy demand, the clean transformation of China's energy structure and the improvement of air quality and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions during the transformation process will have a great domestic and international impact. Under the sustainable development goal scenario, by 2040, China will need to increase investment by 30%, of which 40% will be used for the production of renewable energy; correspondingly, in order to reduce carbon emissions, the power generation capacity of renewable energy will exceed 60%.
 
3. Ou Xunmin (Associate Professor, Institute of Energy, Environment and Economics, Tsinghua University)
 
"Analysis of China's Future Vehicle Energy Demand and GHG Emissions"
 
Professor Ou introduced the analysis of China's future vehicle energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions through the simulation of different policies. His research shows that there will be 540 million vehicles in China by 2050; Electric vehicles will play a more important role in low-carbonization; future car ownership and GHG emissions will still vary greatly among provinces in China. From east to west, the overall performance of car ownership, energy demand and GHG emissions in each region will decline trend.
 
4. Ouyang Bin (Researcher at the Transportation Development Research Center of the Academy of Sciences of the Ministry of Transport)
 
"The Future Development Strategy of China's Transportation"
 
Researcher Ouyang Bin introduced the future green development strategy for China's transportation. He believes that the transportation industry's participation in carbon trading faces problems such as the complexity of the carbon quota allocation model compared with other industries, and the difficulty in accounting for carbon emissions in the transportation industry. At the same time, it is affected by macroeconomics, energy consumption, carbon dioxide Emissions, carbon trading and carbon price levels, the output of the transportation industry, and the impact of a series of factors such as emission reduction costs. Ouyang Bin suggested that in order to reduce the carbon emission level of the transportation industry, the transportation industry should participate in the carbon trading time plan and technical route, design and use the carbon quota allocation method of China's transportation industry, and develop and use the MRV of greenhouse gas emissions in China's transportation field methodology and guidelines.