2035 is the first stage in the process of China's second centenary goal, and China will initially build a modern socialist country. In terms of ecological environment, China's ecological environment will be fundamentally improved, and the goals of the United States and China will be basically realized. The year 2035 will be of great significance not only to China, but also to the world: China will achieve the greenhouse gas emission reduction goals set by the Paris Agreement for 2030 and the United Nations Sustainable Development (SDG) goals. Therefore, we need to coordinate the multiple goals of domestic and international, development and ecological environment protection.

In the future, China's three five-year plans will use the 2035 goal as a benchmark to guide and calibrate the formulation of goals for China's economic and social development stages. At present, relevant Chinese departments and institutions have formulated strategic plans up to 2035, such as the overall plan for major national ecological system protection and restoration projects (2021-2035), the ecological environment monitoring plan (2020-2035) and the construction of a strong transportation country outline.

Before 2035, China's economic aggregate is expected to become the largest in the world. As a more open economy, China's international economic influence will be further enhanced, and its responsibility for international environmental governance will also be greater. After the peak of greenhouse gas emissions, how to coordinate with the international community to achieve the temperature rise control goal of the Paris Agreement (the long-term goal of the Paris Agreement is to control the increase in global average temperature within 2 degrees Celsius compared with the pre-industrial period efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius), the determination of China's 2035 related goals will have international significance.

2035 is also an important time point for global climate change work. For example, Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the Democratic House of Representatives of the United States, proposed a draft in June 2020 to achieve 100% zero-emission of new sales of passenger cars in 2035 under the goal of "carbon neutrality in 2050"; The policy plan of the "Climate Working Group" proposes that the U.S. electricity system will achieve zero emissions by 2035, and the carbon footprint of the building sector will be halved by 2035; The British government will also consider stopping the sale of hybrid vehicles by 2035 based on consultation with relevant opinions; the Finnish government proposed in 2019 that the country plans to achieve carbon neutrality in 2035 and then achieve Negative greenhouse gas emissions; the EU will propose more ambitious 2035 climate goals under the framework of the "European Green New Deal".

Therefore, it is of great significance to carry out research on low-carbon development and the goal of beautiful China in 2035 to solve the above problems, promote the construction of global ecological civilization, and achieve the global goal of addressing climate change.

From domestic and foreign experience, the development of low-carbon pathways and the realization of multi-win goals cannot be separated from the support of models in fields such as macroeconomics, energy systems, and environmental quality, and also require the exchange of information and resources among model workers in different fields. , using modeling tools to explore the relationship between medium and long-term emission reduction goals and social and economic development, to identify and describe the key factors that will affect China's social and economic development in the future, especially for the judgment of specific uncertain factors.

The China Energy Modeling Forum has completed two thematic studies on the peak of carbon emissions in 2030 (CEMF01) and the low-emission development strategy in 2050 (CEMF02), and explored the long-term goals of greenhouse gas emissions and non-carbon dioxide in 2030 and 2050 and their realization paths. For the 2035 goal of low-carbon development and beautiful China (CEMF03), it provides a variety of model tool basic data and a scenario comparison and analysis platform, and also provides a reference for achieving more ambitious climate goals in 2035.

The China Energy Modeling Forum CEMF03 research will use different quantitative analysis tools to conduct multi-objective, multi-path, and multi-time collaborative analysis in order to better understand the development trajectory of China's future society, and is committed to connecting the goals of Beautiful China 2035 with the global The channel between climate environment and sustainable development goals builds a bridge between the 2035 goals of Beautiful China and the 2030 and 2050 climate and sustainable development goals in the time dimension, effectively connecting the two centennial goals.

The academic committee affirmed the significance of the selected topic, and suggested that we should make full use of the foundation of research in 2030 and 2050, explore the connotation of a beautiful China, discuss the synergy between environmental and economic and social goals, and coordinate China's domestic development and environmental goals by strengthening international exchanges and global climate and development goals.

Regarding the specific research methods, the committee members suggested that it should be fully recognized that, unlike the research on the 2030 peak and the 2050 low-emission development strategy, the 2035 research should address the path of China's greenhouse gas determination after the peak. Therefore, in terms of methodology, it must be different from the previous topics and be innovative. It is necessary to organize discussions on new issues and new trends, and set up various new economic and social development scenarios, including the far-reaching impact of the new crown epidemic and post-epidemic revitalization on global social and economic development, the impact of domestic and foreign dual-cycle development, and emerging disruptive The impact of technology, build a suitable model. In terms of research results, it is necessary to strengthen sharing with decision-making departments and different stakeholders to promote the realization of a consensus on green transformation and low-carbon development.

Next, the China Energy Modeling Forum will refine the research plan, launch relevant research groups, conduct special seminars on the impact of new situations, new trends, and new technologies, and provide useful information for the formulation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and provide valuable policy recommendations for the goal of a beautiful China in 2035.